We have six months of runway. Should we cut or raise?

Diagnostics · Answered by Golden Section from more than 400 B2B software companies observed

The Golden Section answer

Cut first, this month, and then decide whether to raise. Six months leaves no margin for a process that slips, and any investor you approach will read the clock before the deck, so the terms get set by your runway rather than your business. Cut until the forecast shows at least twelve months at the trough: stop spend that cannot pay back inside that window, pause unfilled hires, collect every aged receivable, and protect the people who keep current customers renewing. Tell your board and existing investors now, because an insider bridge is the fastest money available. Once the company is stable, raise from a position where walking away is possible, or discover you no longer need to.

The decision rule

At six months the cut is not optional; it is what makes every other option possible. Raise only once the forecast shows a year of runway without the new money.

Usually ready when

  • Burn has been cut so the forecast shows 12+ months at the trough
  • The board and existing investors know the real number
  • Retention is intact after the cuts

Probably too early when

  • The plan depends on a term sheet that has not been signed
  • Nobody has rebuilt the forecast since the last board meeting

The numbers

MetricValueWhat it meansSource
Cash reserve6 months of operating expensecash held back at the forecast trough, not spent on the planPart of a real capital requirement; a company with six months total has no reserve at allGolden Section, publishedGrowth Capital Without Heavy Dilution
Lending minimums$1M ARR and 90%+ NRRentry criteria for Golden Section revenue-based financingLenders underwrite durable recurring revenue and proven use of funds, not a runway gapGolden Section, publishedGolden Section Lending
Runway after cutsabout 12.9 months(cash + collected receivables) ÷ reduced monthly burnWorked example from the scenario below: ($1.5M + $0.3M) ÷ $140KIllustrativeIllustrative arithmetic using the Cash Flow Forecast play

Why

Runway is a negotiating position before it is a bank balance. A founder with six months cannot run a raise without the deadline showing, and a buyer of your equity who can see the deadline prices it. So the cut is not a failure of the plan; it restores the ability to say no. It also answers the question every investor will ask first, which is whether management can make hard decisions quickly.

What to cut follows from the cash flow forecast, rebuilt with actual collections timing. Spend that produces revenue after the runway ends is a luxury: unramped sales seats, new-market experiments, tools nobody logs into. Delivery, support and account management are not, because churn during a cash crisis turns a hard year into a failed one. Collections often buy more time than founders expect; the accounts receivable process with one named owner and a daily cash report is worth doing in the first week. And a decision made on an investor's soft commitment is still a decision made with no money behind it.

Illustrative scenario

A company at $4M in annual revenue burns $250K a month and holds $1.5M, six months of runway. Two account executives hired last quarter have not closed anything, a second product line has one customer, and $300K of receivables are past 60 days. The founder pauses the new product, parts with one unramped seat, cancels contractor development and unused software, and assigns one person to collections. Burn falls to $140K a month, the receivables come in over six weeks, and runway moves to roughly 13 months. She brings the new forecast to the board before asking anyone for money. All figures are invented for illustration.

When this does not hold

If a signed term sheet with committed capital is already in hand and closing is a matter of paperwork, deep cuts may destroy more than they save. And if the company is profitable within the six months on the current plan, the question is cash management, not survival.

What to do on Monday

  1. Rebuild the cash flow forecast with actual collections timing and find the true zero-cash month
  2. List every expense by whether it produces revenue inside six months; cut or pause the rest
  3. Assign one person to collections and start a daily cash report
  4. Call each board member and major investor this week with the real number
  5. Name the customers you cannot afford to lose and protect the people serving them

Mistakes founders make here

From the Golden Section mistakes list, each paired with the play that prevents it.

Mistake 16: Running out of cash

This is the mistake the question is trying to avoid, and at six months it is a real possibility rather than a theory.

Mistake 127: Making costly business decisions based on investors soft commitment.

Founders keep spending against a verbal or soft investor commitment and find out it was not cash when the money does not arrive.

Mistake 147: Avoiding tough but proactive decision making

Every week the cut is delayed makes it deeper, because the same savings have fewer months to accumulate.

Mistake 19: Not communicating with investors

Investors who hear about the cash position late lose the time they would have needed to help.

Plays we would run

In the order we would run them. Each is on its own page, most with a free Excel template.

Cash Flow Forecast

Shows the real zero-cash month and the effect of each cut before you make it.

Accounts Receivable Process

Puts one owner and a daily cash report on collections, often the fastest runway you can find.

Budget Creation

Rebuilds the budget around the cut plan with an owner for every line, so the savings hold.

Board of Directors

Uses the board for what it is for in a crisis: air cover for unpopular moves and a sounding board for hard calls.

Executive plays Cash, budget and board plays are the operating tools for a company with six months of runway.

Questions this page answers

What should I do with six months of runway?

Cut burn immediately until the forecast shows at least a year at the trough, collect aged receivables, and tell your board and investors the real number. Then decide whether to raise, from a position where you could decline the terms. Do not make spending decisions against money that has not arrived.

Can I raise a round with six months of runway?

Sometimes, but usually on worse terms, because the deadline is visible to every investor. Insider bridges from existing investors are the most realistic source at this stage; a new lead investor is more likely once the cuts have created time.

Can debt solve a six-month runway problem?

Rarely. Revenue-based financing and SaaS term loans are underwritten on recurring revenue quality and a proven use of funds, and they are repaid whether the quarter works or not. Debt added to a runway gap without a fix behind it shortens the path to default.

Funding the next stage

Neither our equity nor our lending is a rescue product, and we would rather say that plainly. Once the cut has created a year of runway and the motion is proven, lending can fund what works and equity can fund a structural change; talk to us then.

Talk to Golden Section →

Reviewed by Dougal Cameron, CEO & Co-Founder on 2026-09-23. Golden Section observations are labeled separately from external benchmarks and illustrative arithmetic.